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Catastrophic risk due to autonomous weapons programmed with dangerous targets
The Rise of Artificial Intelligence - Future Outlooks and Emerging Risks
Allianz Global Corporate and Specialty (2018)
Risk Domain
Using AI systems to develop cyber weapons (e.g., by coding cheaper, more effective malware), develop new or enhance existing weapons (e.g., Lethal Autonomous Weapons or chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and high-yield explosives), or use weapons to cause mass harm.
"AI could enable autonomous vehicles, such as drones, to be utilized as weapons. Such threats are often underestimated."(p. 7)
Entity— Who or what caused the harm
Intent— Whether the harm was intentional or accidental
Timing— Whether the risk is pre- or post-deployment
Part of Security & Defense
Other risks from Allianz Global Corporate and Specialty (2018) (13)
Economic
6.2 Increased inequality and decline in employment qualityAI systemIntentionalPost-deployment
Economic > Increased income disparity
6.2 Increased inequality and decline in employment qualityAI systemOtherPost-deployment
Political
4.1 Disinformation, surveillance, and influence at scaleHumanIntentionalPost-deployment
Political > Biased influence through citizen screening and tailored propaganda
4.1 Disinformation, surveillance, and influence at scaleHumanIntentionalPost-deployment
Political > Potential exploitation by totalitarian regimes
6.1 Power centralization and unfair distribution of benefitsHumanIntentionalPost-deployment
Mobility
6.5 Governance failureAI systemUnintentionalPost-deployment