Strategic deception propensity

Frontier AI Risk Management Framework (v1.0)

SAIL & Concordia AI (2025)

Source

Sub-category

Risk Domain

7AI System Safety, Failures & Limitations

7.2AI possessing dangerous capabilities

AI systems that develop, access, or are provided with capabilities that increase their potential to cause mass harm through deception, weapons development and acquisition, persuasion and manipulation, political strategy, cyber-offense, AI development, situational awareness, and self-proliferation. These capabilities may cause mass harm due to malicious human actors, misaligned AI systems, or failure in the AI system.

"In situations where deceptive behavior is expected to bring higher returns, propensity to choose deception over honest behavioral strategies, including through deceptive means, information hiding or exploiting system vulnerabilities to achieve predetermined goals without being detected or intervened, and able to adjust deception strategies according to counterpart reactions."(p. 45)

Entity— Who or what caused the harm

Human

Due to a decision or action made by humans

AI system

Due to a decision or action made by an AI system

Other

Due to some other reason or is ambiguous

Intent— Whether the harm was intentional or accidental

Intentional

Due to an expected outcome from pursuing a goal

Unintentional

Due to an unexpected outcome from pursuing a goal